‘Survivor: Winners at War’ Season 40 Episode 1 Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / January 18, 2020

  • This is the 40th season for CBS’s reality show.
  • The entire cast of Season 40 consists of returning players from previous seasons.
  • ‘Survivor: Winners at War’ Episode 1 airs February 12 at 8:00 PM Eastern.

I almost didn’t bother doing odds on the forthcoming Season 40 of Survivor due to my general disgust with the state of reality TV. I get that the entire genre is a ‘work’ and that there’s only a veneer of legitimacy at best. My issue is that even in a predetermined, make believe world the competition has to adhere to whatever form of ‘logic’ they have created therein. If elimination from a show is final, for example, don’t come up with some gimmick to bring contestants back.

I’m at least cautiously optimistic that there will be no such nonsense on Season 40 of Survivor dubbed Winners at War. The entire theme of the show is ‘old school’. All 21 contestants are returnees from previous seasons and all of the challenges–at least according to the show’s majordomo Jeff Probst and challenge producers John Kirhoffer and Chris “Milhouse” Marchand.

Probst has announced a new type of in-game currency called ‘Fire Tokens’:

So how do the tokens play into the game? “Think of tokens as money,” Probst explains. “And the way it works is, everyone starts with one. And when you are voted out you have to will it or bequeath it to somebody still in the game as you head to the Edge of Extinction.” But while players still in the game are then gathering the fire tokens of those who are voted out, that doesn’t mean they have all the power. Rather, it gives the active players the opportunity to barter with those now on the Edge of Extinction.

Based on Probst’s explanation of some well known economic concepts like scarcity and supply/demand it could provide an interesting twist to the competition. He does make the case that it will add a ‘true economy’ to life on the island:

So now we have a true economy in which you have what I need, and I have what you want. And here’s the price and I’m offering to sell it to you.”

Will keep you posted on Probst’s chances to win the Nobel Prize for Economics. Here is the rundown of the official SPORTSINSIDER.COM Survivor: Winners at War betting odds for Episode 1:

‘SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR’ BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR’

Yul Kwon                               +750
Tyson Apostol                          +750
Parvarti Shallow                       +750
Wendall Holland                        +750
Kim Spradling                          +750
Rob Mariano                            +750
Ben Driebergen                         +1500
Tony Vlachos                           +1500
Adam Klein                             +1500
Danni Boatwright                       +1500
Sophie Clarke                          +1500
Natalie Anderson                       +2500
Amber Mariano                          +2500
Ethan Zohn                             +2500
Jeremy Collins                         +2500
Sandra Diaz-Twine                      +2500
Aaron Meredeth                         +5000
Michelle Fitzgerald                    +5000
Nick Wilson                            +5000
Denise Stapley                         +5000
Sarah Lacina                           +5000

‘SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR’ EPISODE 1 BETTING ODDS

TO BE VOTED OUT IN EPISODE 1

Rob Mariano                            +750
Amber Mariano                          +750
Sophie Clarke                          +750
Sandra Diaz-Twine                      +750
Ben Driebergen                         +900
Tyson Apostol                          +900
Parvarti Shallow                       +1500
Tony Vlachos                           +1500
Natalie Anderson                       +1500
Adam Klein                             +1500
Yul Kwon                               +1500
Kim Spradlin                           +1500
No Elimination in Episode 1            +2500
Jeremy Collins                         +2500
Wendell Holland                        +2500
Aaron Meredeth                         +5000
Michelle Fitzgerald                    +5000
Danni Boatwright                       +5000
Nick Wilson                            +5000
Denise Stapley                         +5000
Ethan Zohn                             +2500
Sarah Lacina                           +5000

WILL A HIDDEN IDOL BE PLAYED IN EPISODE 1?

Yes                                    +600
No -750

WILL ANY CONTESTANT QUIT/BE REMOVED DUE TO INJURY IN EPISODE 1?

Yes                                    +2500
No                                     -5000

WILL ANY CONTESTANT CRY ON CAMERA DURING EPISODE 1?

Yes                                    -210
No                                     +180

WILL ANY CASTAWAY CATCH SEAFOOD IN EPISODE 1?

Yes                                    +300
No                                     -350

WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY IN EPISODE 1?

Yes                                    +300
No -350

GENDER IDENTITY OF NEXT CONTESTANT PIXELATED DUE TO NUDITY?

Female                                 -210
Male +180

NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE PIXELATED DUE TO NUDITY?

Tyson Apostol                          +750
Parvarti Shallow                       +750
Yul Kwon                               +750
Sarah Lacina                           +750
Wendall Holland                        +750
Michele Fitzgerald                     +750
Ethan Zohn                             +1500
Sophie Clarke                          +1500
Aaron Meredeth                         +1500
Amber Mariano                          +1500
Kim Spradling                          +2500
Danni Boatwright                       +2500
Ben Driebergen                         +2500
Natalie Anderson                       +2500
Rob Mariano                            +5000
Tony Vlachos                           +5000
Adam Klein                             +5000
Nick Wilson                            +5000
Sandra Diaz-Twine                      +5000
Jeremy Collins                         +5000
Denise Stapley                         +5000

In the previous three propositions pixelation must be due to accidental or intentional nudity and not due to obscene gestures or any other reason. If there is no pixelation due to nudity this season the previous two propositions will be graded ‘no action’.

EPISODE 1 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

1.2 or Over                            -130
Under 1.2 +110

EPISODE 1 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 5.5                               -150
Under 5.5 +130

EPISODE 1 TOTAL VIEWERSHIP

Over 6.45 Million                      -150
Under 6.45 Million                     +130

The previous three TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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