‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ Episode 12 Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / April 25, 2019

  • This is the 38th season for CBS’s reality show.
  • ‘Survivor’ was one of the early pioneers of the reality TV genre.
  • ‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ Episode 12 airs May 1 at 8:00 PM Eastern.

If I’m ever in a position where I’m called upon to share my life wisdom with young people–a college graduation speaker, for example–I’ll very likely focus on this extremely important yet often overlooked lesson. DO NOT SELF GLOSS! This is true in all walks of life but particularly on reality shows. Sports radio icon Jim Rome first made me aware of this important rule of personal deportment and I have tried to share it with as many people as possible. It is in extremely bad form to give yourself a nickname. I don’t care what your friends, family, classmates, frat brothers, cellmate or whatever calls you. When you come into a new mileage you are ‘John Doe’ and not ‘Tubesteak Johnny Doe’.

I’ll share a personal anecdote. When I was in college I started my education at a small and prestigious Boston area school. After a couple of years there I decided I wanted to become an English Lit major and transferred to a large Southern state university. I was much more obnoxious then than I am now and decided that the best way to meet women was to go through fraternity rush. Obviously, I had no interest in joining a fraternity but I theorized that simply by attending the parties I could meet many of their sorority counterparts giving me instant entree to a circle of attractive women with lax moral standards. It worked like a charm but that’s not the point of this account.

While I was at a rush party the stereotypical pasty white yet red faced drunk chubby Southern boy came up on me and thrusting his hand out said ‘I’m Joe Smith (not his real name) but my friends call me Bubby Dennis’. My immediate thought was ‘I must not be your friend because I’m a grown man and I’m not going to address another grown man as ‘Bubby Dennis’. I vividly remember my reaction. I stepped back, gave him a quick head to toe assessment and sneered contemptuously. He didn’t catch on and soon moved on to regale other poor saps in attendance. He remained a target of my scorn during my entire college career.

THE BALLAD OF WARDOG

This brings us to the latest episode of Survivor: Edge of Extinction where the only ‘self gloss’ among the current group of castaways has been voted out..er…voted to go to Extinction Island. I speak of ‘Wardog’ Daniel DaSilva. Not to give away my trade secrets but no matter the reality show you can count on any ‘self glossed’ contestant to crash and burn. This usually happens quickly. I give you as an example Big Brother 20 where there were not only one but two self glossed contestants: Chris ‘Swaggy C’ Williams and Angie ‘Rockstar’ Lantry. Like ‘Wardog’, these contestants weren’t given their nicknames–they showed up to the party with them not unlike the ill fated Bubby Dennis. ‘Swaggy C’ was sent packing in Week 2 while ‘Rockstar’ hung around until Week 7.

We’re now deep into the season and only two contestants have been completely eliminated. Nine poor souls wait in limbo on Extinction Island. There’s got to be some serious activity in the weeks ahead as we’re now just three weeks from the finale (May 15). The website Reality Tea surmises that there will be five ‘main island’ contestants left heading into the finale. Through some sort of machinations one Extinction Island refugee will join them.

Here are the official SPORTS INSIDER odds for Survivor: Edge of Extinction Episode 12:

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ BETTING ODDS

Victoria Baamonde                      +500
Rick Devins +500
Lauren O’Connell +500
Kelley Wentworth +500
David Wright +750
Gavin Whitson +750
Aubry Bracco +1500
Eric Hafemann +1500
Julia Carter +2500
Chris Underwood                       +2500
Aurora McCreary +2500
Ron Clark +2500
Joe Anglim +2500
Dan Wardog Desilva +2500
Julie Rosenberg +2500
Reem Daly +2500

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ EPISODE 12 BETTING ODDS

TO BE VOTED OUT AT TRIBAL COUNCIL IN EPISODE 12?

Aurora McCreary                        +500
Gavin Whitson +500
Ron Clark +700
Rick Devens +700
Lauren O’Connell +700
Victoria Baamonde +1250
Julie Rosenberg +1250
Any Other Result +2500

WHO WILL WIN IMMUNITY IN EPISODE 12?

Gavin Whitson                           +350
Rick Devens +350
Aurora McCreary +350
Lauren O’Connell +350
Julie Rosenberg +700
Victoria Baamonde +700
Ron Clark +1250
Any Other Result +2500

WHO WILL WIN REWARD IN EPISODE 12?

Gavin Whitson                           +250
Lauren O’Connell +350
Julie Rosenberg +350
Victoria Baamonde +500
Aurora McCreary +500
Ron Clark +1000
Rick Devens +1000
Any Other Result +2500

WILL A HIDDEN IDOL BE PLAYED IN EPISODE 12?

Yes                                     +300
No -350

WILL ANY MAIN ISLAND CONTESTANT QUIT/BE REMOVED DUE TO INJURY IN EPISODE 12?

Yes                                     +2500
No -5000

WILL ANY CONTESTANT CRY ON CAMERA DURING EPISODE 12?

Yes                                      -350
No +300

WILL ANY CASTAWAY CATCH SEAFOOD IN EPISODE 12?

Yes                                       +300
No -350

WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY IN EPISODE 12?

Yes                                       +300
No -350

GENDER IDENTITY OF NEXT CONTESTANT PIXELATED DUE TO NUDITY?

Female                                    -350
Male +300

NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE PIXELATED DUE TO NUDITY?

Victoria Baamonde                          +350
Kelley Wentworth +350
Aurora McCreary +450
Eric Hafemann +750
Joe Anglim +750
Julie Rosenberg +1500
Lauren O’Connell +1500
Aubry Bracco +1500
Dan Wardog Desilva +2500
Gavin Whitson +2500
Chris Underwood +2500
David Wright +2500
Rick Devens +5000
Reem Daly +5000
Ron Clark +5000
Julia Carter +5000

In the previous three propositions pixelation must be due to accidental or intentional nudity and not due to obscene gestures or any other reason. If there is no pixelation due to nudity this season the previous two propositions will be graded ‘no action’.

EPISODE 12 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.5                                    -150
Under 1.5 +130

EPISODE 12 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 6.5                                    -750
Under 6.5 +600

EPISODE 12 TOTAL VIEWERSHIP

Over 7.5 Million                            -150
Under 7.5 Million +130

The previous three TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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