‘American Idol’ 17 Top Six Performances Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / April 28, 2019

  • This is the 17th season for the long running reality show.
  • ‘American Idol’ was on Fox for the first 15 seasons, this is the show’s second season on ABC.
  • ‘American Idol’ Top 6 Performances air May 5 at 8:00 PM Eastern.

Is there anyone in North America (or most of the rest of the world for that matter) that isn’t familiar with American Idol or the general format of the show? Probably not. If you’ve been in solitary confinement for the last 15 years I’ll bring you up to speed. American Idol first aired on ABC in 2002 and became a surprise hit. One year later, it became a massive ratings juggernaut and would go on to be the highest rated show on television for seven consecutive seasons.

Like every other broadcast TV show in the digital era, the viewership has dropped off precipitously in recent years. In 2005 through 2007 it was pulling in an average of 30 million viewers plus per week. It its final year on Fox it brought in an average in the low to mid 11 million range. Last year was the first on ABC and ‘the show averaged in low to mid 7 million viewer range. This season they’re doing similar numbers for the live broadcast but they’re drawing nearly two million DVR viewers a week. In 2019, ABC has to be thrilled to be bringing in 20 million pairs of eyeballs (give or take an eye or two) a week on their 17 year old reality show.

Even with the boost from DVR viewing it’s mind boggling to contemplate that American Idol has shed over 20 million weekly viewers in under a decade. The simple reality is that the entertainment landscape is completely different today than the world that American Idol was originally born into. In context of this, the show is holding up pretty well and barring a complete collapse in ratings are in pretty good shape for the future. American Idol will likely be on ABC as long as the producers want to continue making the show. Any show that can aggregate multiple millions of viewers per week can write its own ticket on broadcast TV circa 2019.

American Idol is down to the final six contestants and will cut two more this week. Here are the American Idol Top Six Performances episode betting odds:

‘AMERICAN IDOL’ SEASON 17 BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘AMERICAN IDOL’ SEASON 17

Laine Hardy                             +200
Alejandro Aranda +250
Madison VanDenburg +250
Jeremiah Lloyd Harmon +500
Laci Kaye Booth +750
Wade Cota +1500

WILL ABC RENEW ‘AMERICAN IDOL’ FOR THE 2019-2020 TV SEASON?

Yes                                      -350
No +300

‘AMERICAN IDOL’ SEASON 17 SUNDAY SHOW AVERAGE KEY DEMO RATING AS OF WEDNESDAY, MAY 8?

Over 1.3                                 -130
Under 1.3 +110

‘AMERICAN IDOL’ SEASON 17 SUNDAY SHOW AVERAGE VIEWERSHIP AS OF WEDNESDAY, MAY 8?

Over 7.24 Million                         -170
Under 7.24 Million +150

The previous two propositions will be graded using data from the TV Series Finale website.

‘AMERICAN IDOL’ SEASON 17 TOP SIX PERFORMANCES BETTING ODDS

WILL LAINE HARDY ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       -2000
No +1250

WILL ALEJANDRO ARANDA ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       -2000
No +1250

WILL MADISON VANDENBURG ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       -1500
No +750

WILL JEREMIAH LLOYD HARMON ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       -1500
No +750

WILL LACI KAYE BOOTH ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       +450
No -600

WILL WADE COTA ADVANCE TO THE FINAL FOUR?

Yes                                       +600
No -750

EPISODE 17 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.25                                 -150
Under 1.25 +130

EPISODE 17 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 7.15 million                         -150
Under 7.15 million +130

EPISODE 17 TOTAL VIEWERS

Over 7.15 million                         -150
Under 7.15 million +130

EPISODE 17 RATINGS KEY DEMO SUNDAY RANKING

#1                                        -350
Any other rank +300

EPISODE 17 MAY 6 RATINGS KEY DEMO WEEKLY RANKING

#7 or higher                              -210
#8 or lower +180

The previous five TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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