2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season State and Local Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Trending News  / May 28, 2019

  • The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1 through November 30.
  • The 2018 Atlantic Hurricane season produced 15 named storms.
  • 40% of all hurricanes to make US landfall strike Florida.

The 2019 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season begins on June 1 and depending on where you live that’s either an interesting bit of trivia or a concern of varying degrees of significance. Realistically, it’s more the former than the latter for most of the United States. Based on the SPORTS INSIDER analysis there’s only 19 states with a significant risk of experiencing a hurricane. Not much of a surprise that Florida is at the greatest risk of having a hurricane strike. Also at significant risk–Texas, Louisiana, North Carolina and South Carolina. Historically, 40% of all hurricanes that make US landfall strike Florida. 88% of all land falling hurricanes strike Texas and/or Florida.

The Southern East Coast and Gulf Coast states are the first to come to mind in terms of hurricane risk but the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern Coastline is also a potential landfall destination. It’s not uncommon for a tropical storm to track just offshore until it gets well above the Mason Dixon Line and then hang a hard left. In fact, with the exception of the Southern Coastal states the next states on the hurricane risk list are Virginia, New York, Massachusetts and Rhode Island. All in all, nineteen states have experienced a hurricane strike since records were first kept in 1851. Pennsylvania is on the list but it’s the subject of some debate. The only hurricane to hit the Quaker State was in 1898 and there is some questioning that it might have been a severe storm that didn’t reach hurricane status. The verification of it’s status as a legitimate hurricane may have been more anecdotal than factual.

In the first part of our analysis of the 2019 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season we took the ‘big picture’ approach by looking at the forecast for the entire Atlantic Basin during the 2019 season. Now we’re going to get more granular with the state level and local level:

2019 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON BETTING ODDS

STATE AND PROVINCIAL ODDS

THE FIRST HURRICANE TO STRIKE THE MAINLAND US DURING THE 2019 SEASON WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN WHICH STATE?

Florida                                               +350
Texas +500
Louisiana +750
North Carolina +750
South Carolina +1000
Georgia +1500
Alabama +1500
Mississippi +1500
Virginia +2000
New York +2000
Massachusetts +2500
Rhode Island +2500
Connecticut +2500
Maine +2500
Maryland +5000
Delaware +5000
New Jersey +5000
New Hampshire +5000
Pennsylvania +5000
Any Other State +15000

If no hurricanes strike the US mainland during the 2019 season bet will be graded ‘no action’.

THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) TO STRIKE THE MAINLAND US DURING THE 2019 SEASON WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN WHICH STATE?

Florida                                               +350
Texas +500
Louisiana +750
North Carolina +750
South Carolina +1000
Georgia +1500
Alabama +1500
Mississippi +1500
Virginia +2000
New York +2000
Massachusetts +2500
Rhode Island +2500
Connecticut +2500
Maine +2500
Maryland +5000
Delaware +5000
New Jersey +5000
New Hampshire +5000
Pennsylvania +5000
Any Other State +15000

If no hurricanes strike the US mainland during the 2019 season bet will be graded ‘no action’.

THE FIRST NAMED TROPICAL STORM TO ENTER CANADA DURING THE 2019 SEASON WILL CROSS THE BORDER IN WHICH PROVINCE?

Nova Scotia                                           +150
New Brunswick/Prince Edward Island +175
Newfoundland and Labrador +225
Quebec +750
Ontario +1500

Storm must have tropical storm or hurricane status at the time it crosses Canadian border. If there are no named tropical storms to enter Canada during the 2019 season bet will be graded ‘no action’.

LOCAL ODDS

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BROWNSVILLE, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BROWNSVILLE, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3750
No                                                   -7500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CORPUS CHRISTI, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CORPUS CHRISTI, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3750
No                                                   -7500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF GALVESTON, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +450
No                                                   -900

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF GALVESTON, TX DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NEW ORLEANS, LA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +350
No                                                   -700

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NEW ORLEANS, LA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BILOXI, MI DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +500
No                                                   -1000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BILOXI, MI DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1750
No                                                   -3500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MOBILE, AL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +500
No                                                   -1000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MOBILE, AL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1750
No                                                   -3500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PANAMA CITY, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +350
No                                                   -700

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PANAMA CITY, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF TAMPA, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +350
No                                                   -700

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF TAMPA, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF FORT MEYERS, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +350
No                                                   -700

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF FORT MEYERS, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF KEY WEST, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +350
No                                                   -700

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF KEY WEST, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +500
No                                                   -1000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MIAMI, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +300
No                                                   -350

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MIAMI, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +450
No                                                   -900

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CAPE CANAVERAL, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +450
No                                                   -900

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CAPE CANAVERAL, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +900
No                                                   -1800

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF JACKSONVILLE, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF JACKSONVILLE, FL DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +2500
No                                                   -5000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF SAVANNAH, GA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF SAVANNAH, GA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +4500
No                                                   -9000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CHARLESTON, SC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF CHARLESTON, SC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3750
No                                                   -7500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +750
No                                                   -1500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3750
No                                                   -7500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF WILMINGTON, NC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +300
No                                                   -350

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF WILMINGTON, NC DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF VIRGINIA BEACH, VA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF VIRGINIA BEACH, VA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3750
No                                                   -7500

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF OCEAN CITY, MD DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +2250
No                                                   -4500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF OCEAN CITY, MD DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +4500
No                                                   -9000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF ATLANTIC CITY, NJ DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +2500
No                                                   -5000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF ATLANTIC CITY, NJ DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +4500
No                                                   -9000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NEW YORK CITY DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1250
No                                                   -2500

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NEW YORK CITY DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +2500
No                                                   -5000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PROVIDENCE, RI DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +900
No                                                   -1800

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PROVIDENCE, RI DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3500
No                                                   -7000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NANTUCKET, MA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +500
No                                                   -1000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF NANTUCKET, MA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3500
No                                                   -7000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BOSTON, MA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +1000
No                                                   -2000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BOSTON, MA DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +4500
No                                                   -9000

WILL A HURRICANE PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PORTLAND, ME DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +3000
No                                                   -6000

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5) PASS WITHIN 100 MILES OF PORTLAND, ME DURING THE 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +7500
No                                                   -15000

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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