2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Trending News  / May 28, 2019

  • The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1 through November 30.
  • The 2018 Atlantic Hurricane season produced 15 named storms.
  • There were 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes during the 2018 season.

The 2019 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season begins on June 1 and runs through November 30. National Hurricane Preparedness Week ran May 5 through 11th of this year and during the month of May many of the Southern states at risk of hurricanes have their own ‘preparedness weeks’. In my current home state, the South Carolina Hurricane Preparedness Week runs May 26 through June 1. If, for whatever reason, you’d like to take a look at the South Carolina Hurricane Guide it can be downloaded at the link below beginning on May 26:

SOUTH CAROLINA HURRICANE GUIDE 2019

Hurricanes are fascinating in that they’re simultaneously slow and plodding relative to most storms yet are capable of massive and widespread destruction. Scientists have studied hurricanes for centuries–much longer than any other weather related phenomenon. The serious scientific study of hurricanes dates back to the early 1800’s and has left modern researchers with a wealth of historical data. Now that we’ve reached the 21st Century and humans actually know things the study of hurricanes has become extremely advanced.

Every year before the hurricane season begins, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) releases their prediction of the forthcoming hurricane season. In most years, the mainstream media scrambles to figure out a way to spin this prediction to suggest that a historically bad hurricane season is on the way but the reality is that hurricanes seldom cooperate with these predictions. There have been a few times recently where conditions suggested a busier than usual Atlantic Storm Season and it ended up being slower than expected. This year, NOAA has cleverly made it difficult for the hysteric prone entities in the media and government to over-hype the season by leading with the observation that this year is expected to be ‘near-normal’.

Thanks to technology, the prediction of severe weather has never been more precise and it’s becoming more accurate with each passing year. In particular, hurricanes generate a ton of statistical data annually and the study of this information allows even greater insight on how storms form and move and what determines where and when they’ll make landfall. For the oddsmakers at SPORTS INSIDER it also allows us to set a wide variety of proposition betting odds on the upcoming Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season.

Ultimately, however, hurricanes remain highly unpredictable and that’s likely why scientists, meteorologists, writers, filmmakers and the general public continue to be fascinated with them. One should not underestimate their danger, of course, but it’s impossible to deny the fact that they’re arguably the most interesting weather related phenomenon for scientists and ‘lay people’ alike.

2019 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON BETTING ODDS

TOTAL NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN NAMED STORMS DURING 2019 SEASON?

Over 12.5                                            -180
Under 12.5 +150

TOTAL NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANES DURING 2019 SEASON?

Over 6.5                                             -150
Under 6.5 +130

WILL THERE BE A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN DURING 2019 SEASON?

Yes                                                  +180
No -210

WILL THERE BE AN ‘OUT OF SEASON’ ATLANTIC BASIN TROPICAL STORM FORMATION ON OR AFTER DECEMBER 1, 2019 AND BEFORE OR ON MAY 31, 2020?

Yes                                                  +1250
No -2500

TOTAL NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANES IN 2019 SEASON?

0 or 1                                               +1750
2 or more -3500

TOTAL NAMED STORM DAYS (MEANING THAT AN ACTIVE STORM EXISTS WITHIN A 24 HOUR PERIOD) IN 2019 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASON WILL BE?

Over 54.5                                            -135
Under 54.5                                           +115

TOTAL HURRICANE DAYS (MEANING THAT AN ACTIVE HURRICANE EXISTS WITHIN A 24 HOUR PERIOD) IN 2019 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASON WILL BE?

Over 19.5                                            -125
Under 19.5                                           +105

TOTAL MAJOR HURRICANE DAYS (MEANING THAT AN ACTIVE CATEGORY 3,4 OR 5 HURRICANE EXISTS WITHIN A 24 HOUR PERIOD) IN 2019 ATLANTIC BASIN SEASON WILL BE?

Over 4.5                                             -150
Under 4.5                                           +130

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) MAKE LANDFALL IN THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES DURING THE 2019 HURRICANE SEASON?

Yes                                                  +110
No -130

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) MAKE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE 2019 HURRICANE SEASON?

Yes                                                  +150
No -180

For purposes of grading this proposition East Coast includes Florida Peninsula

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) MAKE LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE 2019 HURRICANE SEASON?

Yes                                                  +130
No -150

For purposes of grading this proposition Gulf Coast includes Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas inclusive.

WILL A MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) MAKE LANDFALL IN THE CARIBBEAN DURING THE 2019 HURRICANE SEASON?

Yes                                                  -130
No                                                   +110

FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) OF 2019 TO MAKE LANDFALL?

Caribbean                                             +100
US Eastern Coastline +250
US Gulf Coast +250
No Major Hurricane To Make Landfall in 2019 +450

For purposes of grading this proposition East Coast includes Florida Peninsula; Gulf Coast includes Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas inclusive.

THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN NAMED STORM FORMATIONS FOR 2019 SEASON WILL OCCUR IN WHICH MONTH?

June                                                  +2500
July +1000
August +450
September +175
October +225
November +300
December +3500

THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE FORMATIONS FOR 2019 SEASON WILL OCCUR IN WHICH MONTH?

June                                                  +2500
July +750
August +500
September +125
October +250
November +500
December +2500

THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN MAJOR HURRICANE FORMATIONS (CATEGORIES 3,4 AND 5) FOR 2019 SEASON WILL OCCUR IN WHICH MONTH?

June                                                  +3500
July +1500
August +250
September -150
October +450
November +1250
December +3500

THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF HURRICANES TO MAKE LANDFALL ON US MAINLAND DURING 2019 SEASON WILL OCCUR IN WHICH MONTH?

June                                                  +2500
July +1750
August +250
September -140
October +325
November +2000
December +5000

WILL THE NUMBER OF ATLANTIC BASIN STORMS IN 2019 SEASON NECESSITATE USING ONE OR MORE OF THE ‘GREEK LETTER’ ALPHABET?

Yes                                                  +7500
No                                                   -15000

If there are more than 21 named storms in a year World Meteorological Organization (WMO) naming convention mandates that additional storms will use the Greek alphabet (eg: Alpha would be used for storm 22, Beta for storm 23, etc.)

WILL THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO) RETIRE AN ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM NAME BETWEEN JUNE 1, 2019 AND MAY 31, 2020?

Yes                                                  -350
No                                                   +300

NUMBER OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM NAMES RETIRED BY THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO) BETWEEN JUNE 1, 2019 AND MAY 31, 2020?

Over 1.5                                             +150
Under 1.5                                           -170

FIRST ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM NAME ALPHABETICALLY RETIRED BY THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO) BETWEEN JUNE 1, 2019 AND MAY 31, 2020 WILL BE?

Male name                                            -115
Female name                                         -115

Storm names alternate between male and female names. In 2019, the naming begins with a female name (‘Andrea’) with the second storm a male name (‘Bart’). Since some names are commonly used by both genders (eg: ‘Dorian’) the position in the ‘naming sequence’ will be used to grade this bet.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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