The Road to WrestleMania 42 took another massive turn this weekend on Smackdown, with two blockbuster matchups officially added to the card. Jacob Fatu will clash with Drew McIntyre, while the newly crowned United States Champion, Sami Zayn, will step into the ring against Trick Williams.
As the showcase card takes its final shape, oddsmakers have released a fresh batch of lines, and the sharp money is already causing significant shifts in the main event picture.
The Main Events: Roman vs. Punk and Rhodes vs. Orton
The biggest storyline in the betting markets surrounds the WWE World Heavyweight Championship. Roman Reigns opened as a massive -500 favorite over the defending champion, CM Punk (+300). However, early action has pushed the line in Punk’s favor, narrowing the gap to Reigns -300 and Punk +200. While Reigns still holds an implied 75% win probability, the tightening odds suggest bettors aren’t entirely convinced “The Tribal Chief” is a lock to walk out with the gold.
Conversely, the Undisputed WWE Championship market is moving in the opposite direction. Randy Orton opened as a slight -140 favorite over champion Cody Rhodes (+100). That line has since widened to Orton -180, giving “The Viper” a 64.3% implied probability to end Rhodes’ reign.
The New Additions: Fatu and Trick Heavy Favorites
If you’re looking for decisive favorites, the newest additions to the card might be the place to start. Despite just winning the US Championship, Sami Zayn is a heavy +300 underdog against Trick Williams (-500). Oddsmakers are implying an 83.3% chance that Williams captures the belt in a massive WrestleMania moment. Similarly, Jacob Fatu has been installed as a massive -500 favorite over veteran Drew McIntyre (+300).
Challengers Dominate the Women’s Division
Across all three women’s championship matches, the challengers are heavily favored to dethrone the current titleholders. Liv Morgan (-550) is the biggest favorite on the entire card against Women’s World Champion Stephanie Vaquer (+325). Meanwhile, Rhea Ripley (-325) and Becky Lynch (-350) are both expected to leave with the WWE Women’s and Women’s Intercontinental Championships, respectively.
