‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ Season Finale Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / May 12, 2019

  • This is the 38th season for CBS’s reality show.
  • ‘Survivor’ was one of the early pioneers of the reality TV genre.
  • ‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ Season Finale airs May 15 at 8:00 PM Eastern.

So we’re finally down to the final episode of Survivor: Edge of Extinction. I’m an oddsmaker and not a TV critic but I have to say that I’ve enjoyed this season of Survivor less than any in recent memory. I’ve been complaining about how no one is really getting eliminated when they go to Extinction Island all season so I’ll keep that to a minimum. Not having people eliminated defeats the purpose of the show in the first place. Plus, it also makes it very difficult to set odds on the show when you have no idea who the producers will bring back and under what circumstances.

My other gripe–and again it’s something that makes oddsmaking difficult–is that they didn’t do enough with Extinction Island. The ‘mystique’ of what all of these people were doing there and what–if anything–would have to take place to get them back to the main island was intriguing at first. Unfortunately, it didn’t go anywhere. I strikes me as lazy writing but whatever the reason Extinction Island ended up being a holding pen to corral the poor saps until the end of the series.

Here’s how the odds for the final episode will work–I’ve done odds markets for the first, second and third spots. Since I have no clue how to do odds on the Extinction Island residents’ chances of return to the game let alone winning I’ve got six betting interests in each market. These are the five ‘finalists’ (Rick Devins, Lauren O’Connell, Victoria Baamonde, Gavin Whitson and Julie Rosenberg) and a catch all category for ‘any other result’. The ‘any other result’ will cover everyone on Extinction Island, contestants from previous years, former Big Brother and Naked and Afraid contestants or any other random occurrence.

Here are the official SPORTS INSIDER odds for the Survivor: Edge of Extinction Season Finale:

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’

Rick Devins                            +100
Lauren O’Connell +250
Victoria Baamonde +500
Gavin Whitson +700
Julie Rosenberg +700
Any Other Result +2000

TO FINISH SECOND ‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’

Gavin Whitson                          +150
Lauren O’Connell +150
Victoria Baamonde +500
Rick Devins +750
Julie Rosenberg +750
Any Other Result +1500

TO FINISH THIRD ‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’

Victoria Baamonde                      +200
Julie Rosenberg +250
Lauren O’Connell +350
Gavin Whitson +350
Rick Devins +750
Any Other Result +1000

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ SEASON FINALE BETTING ODDS

SEASON FINALE KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.5                                 -150
Under 1.5 +130

SEASON FINALE KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 6.5                                 -750
Under 6.5 +600

SEASON FINALE TOTAL VIEWERSHIP

Over 7.25 Million                         -150
Under 7.25 Million +130

The previous three TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers. For purposes of this wager only the first hour of Sunday’s two hours of ‘Survivor’ will be considered.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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