‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ Episode 2 Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / February 25, 2019

There was a time when every US facing offshore sports book offered odds on ‘Survivor’. That’s no longer the case partially due to changes in the bookmaking industry and the declining popularity of reality TV (and broadcast TV in general). I’ve always enjoyed handicapping reality TV and other entertainment props so it’s been one of my goals to ‘pick up the slack’ and cover the betting aspects of reality TV shows.

‘Survivor’ is now in its 38th season and the current incarnation–‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ premiered last week (February 20, 2019). The way we do ‘Survivor’ odds is to start with the basic stuff and then add in more esoteric propositions once the audience begins to get to know the cast. We also post odds on the TV ratings which are still fairly strong for ‘Survivor’ and the other top reality TV shows.

In terms of its current popularity ‘Survivor’ is similar to ‘Dancing With The Stars‘. Many people react with surprise when they learn that the show is still on the air. Both ‘Survivor’ and ‘DWTS’ are no longer the focal point of office water cooler conversation and there’s not many ‘viewing parties’ these days. That notwithstanding, both shows bring in big numbers which is becoming more and more difficult in the increasingly fragmented media environment of the 21st century. For example, Episode 1 of ‘Survivor’s current season brought in a 1.6 key demographic rating with a 7 share. That’s roughly 7.75 million viewers which is an impressive aggregation of viewers in today’s broadcast environment. I haven’t seen the weekly ratings chart for last week but based on the previous week ‘Survivor’s’ 1.6 rating would have been good for 5th place.

Reality TV is one of the few remaining genres that the legacy networks can count on to deliver viewers. At least that is the case with the top reality TV shows like ‘Survivor’, ‘Dancing With The Stars’, etc. In the weekly TV ratings for February 11-17 the top two shows were reality based programming. ‘The Bachelor’ was second with a 1.9 rating and an 8 share with 6.48 million viewers. The breakout hit of the season is the bizarre singing competition called ‘The Masked Singer’ which last week delivered a 2.6 rating and 11 share with 8.22 million viewers.

Here is the first rundown of the official SPORTS INSIDER ‘Survivor: Edge of Extinction’ betting odds. We’ll keep these updated on a weekly basis and begin our recap and analysis of the episodes beginning next week.

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’

Kelley Wentworth                       +450
Joe Anglim +650
Aubry Bracco +650
Eric Hafemann +750
David Wright +750
Chris Underwood +750
Victoria Baamonde +1150
Julie Rosenberg +1150
Julia Carter +2000
Ron Clark +2000
Gavin Whitson +2000
Dan Wardog Desilva +3500
Rick Devens +3500
Aurora McCreary +3500
Keith Sowell +3500
Lauren O’Connell +3500
Wendy Diaz +3500

‘SURVIVOR: EDGE OF EXTINCTION’ EPISODE 2 BETTING ODDS

WHO WILL BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 2?

Wendy Diaz                             +350
Lauren O’Connell +750
Rick Devens +750
David Wright +750
Aubry Bracco +1000
Julie Rosenberg +1000
Kelley Wentworth +1000
Chris Underwood +2500
Joe Anglim +2500
Eric Hafemann +2500
Victoria Baamonde +2500
Julia Carter +2500
Ron Clark +2500
Gavin Whitson +2500
Dan Wardog Desilva +2500
Aurora McCreary +2500
Keith Sowell +2500
No One Eliminated in Episode 2 +5000

WHO WILL WIN IMMUNITY IN EPISODE 2?

Kama Tribe                             -210
Manu Tribe  +180
No One Wins Immunity in Episode 2  +1000

WHO WILL WIN REWARD IN EPISODE 2?

Kama Tribe                             -250
Manu Tribe  +210
No One Wins Reward in Episode 2 +210

WILL A HIDDEN IDOL BE PLAYED IN EPISODE 2?

Yes                                     +300
No  -350

WILL THE EPISODE 2 ELIMINATED CASTAWAY GO TO EXTINCTION ISLAND?

Yes                                     -350
No  +300

WILL ANYONE QUIT/BE REMOVED FROM ISLAND DUE TO INJURY IN EPISODE 2?

Yes                                     +600
No -750

WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY IN EPISODE 2?

Yes                                     +210
No  -250

GENDER IDENTITY OF NEXT CONTESTANT PIXELATED DUE TO NUDITY?

Female                                   -350
Male +300

In the previous two propositions pixelation must be due to accidental or intentional nudity and not due to obscene gestures or any other reason.

EPISODE 2 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.55                                 -150
Under 1.75 +130

EPISODE 2 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 6.5                                 -250
Under 6.5 +210

EPISODE 2 TOTAL VIEWERSHIP

Over 7.55 Million                         -180
Under 7.55 Million +150

The previous three TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers.

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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