There is a distinct chill in the air in New York, and it has nothing to do with the April weather. Both the Yankees and the Mets are currently mired in ugly five-game losing streaks, and in a city where patience is a non-existent virtue, the managers are officially on the clock. BetOnline.ag has adjusted the “First Manager Fired” market to reflect the mounting pressure, and the odds suggest the “First Train Out of Town” might depart from Penn Station.
The Favorites: A Tale of Two Cities (and St. Louis)
Aaron Boone (3/1) entered the 2026 season as the favorite at 6/1, but his odds have already been slashed in half. When you’re the skipper of the Yankees, a five-game slide feels like a five-month drought, and at 3/1, the books are essentially saying his seat is officially white-hot.
However, the biggest riser is arguably Oliver Marmol (7/2) in St. Louis. Marmol opened the year as a 20/1 longshot, but a sluggish start for the Cardinals has seen him leapfrog almost the entire field to sit just behind Boone. If you’re looking for the best “value” play on a manager truly on the brink, Marmol at +350 feels like the sharpest bet on the board.
Mendoza’s Metropolitan Meltdown
Not to be outdone by his cross-town rival, Carlos Mendoza (4/1) has vaulted from 15/1 to the third spot on the list. The Mets’ early-season struggles have the fanbase restless, and if this five-game skid hits a dozen, Mendoza might not make it to May.
The “Under-the-Radar” Hot Seats
While the New York media consumes the headlines, don’t sleep on Joe Espada (5/1) in Houston. The Astros have high expectations, and any sign of a prolonged slump could lead to a quick trigger in the front office. On the flip side, if you’re looking for stability, names like Dave Roberts, Skip Schumaker, and Derek Shelton remain buried at 100/1, signaling total job security for now.
You can track the daily temperature of the MLB hot seats and lock in the latest prices here.
