‘Dancing With The Stars’ Season 28 Episode 5 Betting Odds

by James Murphy in Entertainment  / October 8, 2019

  • This is the 28th season for ABC’s reality show.
  • Radio personality Bobby Bones was the Season 27 winner.
  • Season 28 Episode 5 of ‘DWTS’ will air on October 14, 2019

Episode 4 of Dancing With The Stars saw the third contestant voted off the island eliminated/withdraw from the competition as Lamar Odom was finally sent packing.

Credit to Lamar–even though it was apparent that the judges were cutting him some slack he did put in the effort and improve every week. As I noted last week I don’t blame the judges for cutting him slack–he’s not the only bad dancer in the field but he’s the only one who was found near death in a Nevada brothel, has had 12 strokes and 6 heart attacks and has trouble remembering things.

It was clear that Lamar would soon be given his walking papers on the previous show when he was named in the ‘Bottom 2′ and had the lowest score of the week. Ray Lewis’ withdrawal likely spared him for one more week. Lamar posted a 20 which his best score of the competition in his final week. That sounds better than it is since he was awarded his highest score (7) by guest judge Lee Remini. The regular judges gave him a 13 which is also his best score of the competition albeit by a single point. Obviously, it was inevitable that he’d be eliminated. In the four weeks of Series 28 he had the lowest score every week, had the lowest total score which at the time of his eliminated was 10 points(and that’s without the guest judge score factored in) lower than any other remaining contestant and had the lowest average score by 2.5 points.

Either the judging is tougher this year, the field is less talented or some combination thereof. Not only have there been no ’10’ scores awarded this season there haven’t been any ‘9’ scores either. In Week 4, the top four contestants had 8’s across the board for 32 points and one point back was Sailor Brinkley who had 31 with three 8’s and a 7. By way of contrast, in Season 27 there were seven ‘9’s’ awarded in Week 2 with the first ’10’ score awarded in Week 3. There is a bit of a technicality as last season’s Week 2 was a special two hour episode. Even if you take that into account and measure this year’s Week 4 against last year’s Week 3 there’s still a huge disparity. By the end of Episode 3 of Season 27 there were not only 3 ’10’ scores awarded but a total of *25* ‘9’ scores.

The second lowest score went to Sean Spicer (15) who is a truly awful dancer but he’s likely being kept around for publicity purposes. Either that, or the same sycophants that elected Donald Trump have committed themselves to voting for him but that assumes the audience vote is legit which I seriously doubt. Karamo Brown was the other ‘Bottom 2’ but his score (minus the guest judge) was a reasonable 21. On a macro level, he’s got the second lowest remaining contestant score at 73 which translates to 18.3 weekly average. That’s 15 points overall and 3.8 points average more than Sean Spicer but that doesn’t mean Karamo survives another week.

The other ‘big news’ as it relates to the contestant roster was Lauren Alaina’s family distraction. Her cousin Holly had a ‘brain bleed’ and went into a coma last week causing her to miss a few days of rehearsals:

“I had a crazy, crazy week. My cousin Holly had a brain bleed and she slipped into a coma earlier this week. I went home and we missed a few days of rehearsals. And I was like really stressed and my family told me to come here and I want to dedicate the dance to you, Holly.”

“We’re praying for you. We’re believing in a full recovery. We love you.”

Presumably, this storyline isn’t a ‘work’ but either way the ‘sympathy card’ didn’t hurt Alaina as she ended up with a 32 putting her into a four way tie for highest score of the week.

The big drop in the ratings from Week 1 to Week 2 was definitely more than a short term phenomenon. The good news is that the audience looks to have stabilized. The rating/share was 0.8 once again with a 3 share. The viewership was back down to 6.4 million, same as Week 3. These are based on the final ratings with DWTS seeing no adjustment over their preliminary numbers. They’re at least keeping a consistent audience which is really why network TV still airs reality shows in the first place.

Here are the SPORTSINSIDER.COM odds for Week 5 of Dancing With The Stars Season 28:

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 BETTING ODDS

James Van Der Beek                     +225
Ally Brooke +300
Hannah Brown +300
Lauren Alaina +450
Sailor Brinkley-Cook +500
Kel Mitchell +2500
Kate Flannery +5000
Karamo Brown +5000
Sean Spicer +5000

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 BETTING ODDS

TO BE ELIMINATED IN WEEK 5 OF ‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28

Karamo Brown                           +150
Kel Mitchell +250
Sean Spicer +450
Kate Flannery +500
Sailor Brinkley-Cook +1500
Ally Brooke +2500
Hannah Brown +2500
Lauren Alaina +2500
James Van Der Beek +5000
No One Eliminated in Week 5 +5000

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 AVERAGE SCORE

Over 21.5                              -150
Under 21.5                     +130

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 HIGHEST SCORE

Over 26.5                              -130
Under 26.5                     +110

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 LOWEST SCORE

Over 15.5                              +110
Under 15.5                     -130

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 NUMBER OF CONTESTANTS WITH TOTAL SCORE OF 20 OR HIGHER

Over 7.5                               -150
Under 7.5                     +110

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 NUMBER OF CONTESTANTS WITH TOTAL SCORE OF 17 OR LOWER

Over 1.5                               +180
Under 1.5                     -210

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 WILL ANY JUDGE AWARD A SCORE OF TEN?

Yes                                    -130
No                     +110

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 WILL ANY JUDGE AWARD A SCORE OF FIVE OR LOWER?

Yes                                    +210
No                     -250

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 NUMBER OF TEN SCORES AWARDED?

Over 0.5                               +210
Under 0.5                     -250

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 NUMBER OF SCORES NINE OR HIGHER AWARDED?

Over 2.5                               -150
Under 2.5                     +130

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 NUMBER OF SCORES EIGHT OR HIGHER AWARDED?

Over 14.5                              -150
Under 14.5                     +130

For purposes of the previous 10 score props any guest judge(s) will not be considered. Only the scores of Carrie Ann Inaba, Len Goodman and Bruno Tonioli will be apply toward the outcome of these wagers.

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 VIEWERSHIP

Over 6.4 Million                       +210
6.4 Million or Under -250

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 RATING

Over 0.9                               +300
Under 0.9                     -350

‘DANCING WITH THE STARS’ SEASON 28 EPISODE 5 SHARE

5 or Over                              +300
Under 5                     -350

The previous three TV ratings propositions will be graded using data reported at TV By The Numbers. 

James Murphy

James Murphy is a preeminent authority on the international gambling industry and has made frequent appearances in the mainstream media including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, Entertainment Weekly, CNBC and NPR. He has previously worked as a radio and podcasting host where he broadcast to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy also serves as an odds making consultant for sports and ‘non-sport novelty bets’ covering the entertainment industry, politics, technology, financial markets and just about everything else.

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